Crazy Weather – Marseille Edition January 12, 2009
Posted by gordonwatts in Snow, life.3 comments
The French city of Marseille is not one you would normally think of being under snow. After all, it is right on the Med. But a lot of places are getting hit by snow that don’t normally get hit by snow. We lived there for a year last year and we never saw snow. I think we may have seen a few flakes… but nothing actually hit ground. As one of my friends there put it:
Snow in Marseille. Has not happened in at least the last four years. Nobody has snow tires and the city says they cannot find the salt truck (seriously).
Another friend of ours put it thus: “Great for the kids, sucks for the adults.”
Here is a picture I took from the apartment balcony last year when we were in Marseille:

and here is what it looks like now (taken by the current residents of the appartment):
The images from flickr are impressive. My friend has been walking around the city taking pictures, and just the general pictures posted all over flickr.
And Marseille isn’t the only place that has been crazy. For a little while last week Seattle was cut off from the rest of the country. Both of the big interstates out of town were cut off – I5 and I90. Water and snow was closing them!
What Nest Egg? January 10, 2009
Posted by gordonwatts in life.1 comment so far
End of year tax documents are starting to arrive. A long time ago I opened a Roth IRA. It has never been above water, but this year it really fell. It started the year at about 1700.00 bucks and ended the year at 1040 bucks. Wow. I’m scared to look at my actual retirement account!
Happy New Year!
Cultural Damage: the last 8 years December 26, 2008
Posted by gordonwatts in life, politics.4 comments
We got our kid a LEGO set this year. I had thousands of bits and my sister and I spent endless hours building things from them (including self-supporting 5 foot long space ships). LEGO is good clean kid fun! It promotes imagination, it definitely isn’t a one-trick toy, after all!
After J-mo opened the present and started playing with it my wife noticed something: there were people (cavemen) and dinosaurs together. Now, no big deal, right? This is a toy, after all. Pretend, and just for fun. 8 years ago I don’t think any of us would have noticed this. Now however, things are much more polarized. It just amazes me that we even thought about this. How is it that imagination has been this ruined by these 8 years of cultural wars? To take the edge of the fun of LEGO?
I really hope that the change in presidency is more than just a change at the top and we can waste less time on these cultural wars and get back to making the USA work. What a waste.
I had a fantastic Christmas; I hope everyone else did as well! [Ok, odd note to end the post on…] And I hope your travel was a lot less traumatic than mine was!
Poof! Your life’s work… December 20, 2008
Posted by gordonwatts in life, politics.3 comments
I was reading up a bit on the Madoff Ponzi scheme. The sheer size of the money involved is just amazing! Charities totally destroyed. For example, I found the following on the Elie Wiesel Foundation’s web site:
We are deeply saddened and distressed that we, along with many others, have been the victims of what may be one of the largest investment frauds in history. We are writing to inform you that the Elie Wiesel Foundation for Humanity had $15.2 million under management with Bernard Madoff Investment Securities. This represented substantially all of the Foundation’s assets.
Poof! All their work is gone just like that. Imagine a group of people committed to some cause working for a large part of their life on it and then to have the rug pulled out from under them.
And this foundation is small potatoes compared to some of the foundations losses.
I suppose the key is trust. I trust my bank not to loose my money – or the federal government get it back to me if my bank fails. There are no such guarantees once you get beyond 100,000 or so bucks. But the way the economy was going over the past n-years there were lots of places I would have considered it was just fine to park my money that now look quite shaky.
I like Krugman’s summary of the whole mess:
Yet surely I’m not the only person to ask the obvious question: How different, really, is Mr. Madoff’s tale from the story of the investment industry as a whole?
So… how much of the boom of the last 10 or 15 years in the USA was actually fake? Even if we didn’t participate in making loads of money we certainly were a part of the USA – economically invincible [I’m going to totally ignore the war issue here]. How we have fallen! I hope it minimally affects other parts of the world, but as this Madoff mess shows, that isn’t likely.
Dance your Science December 8, 2008
Posted by gordonwatts in life, science.1 comment so far
Apparently, the Association for the Advancement of Science put together a contest for Ph.D. research: “Dance your Ph.D.”:
The contest is open to anyone who has (or is pursuing) a Ph.D. in any scientific field, such as physics, chemistry, biology, psychology, anthropology, or in science-related fields such as mathematics, engineering, linguistics, bioethics, the history of science, etc. regardless of whether you’ve remained in academia.
1. Make a video of your own Ph.D. dance.
2. Post the video on YouTube. (Some tips.) In the video’s information box, include your Ph.D. title and any relevant information (scientific or artistic) that you’d like to share.
All the entries and the four winners can be found at this page. There was only one entry in physics – astrophysics – oh well.
Bombings in Mumbai November 27, 2008
Posted by gordonwatts in life, politics.1 comment so far
I just saw this in the NYTimes:
Coordinated terror attacks struck the heart of Mumbai, India’s commercial capital, Wednesday night, killing dozens in machine-gun and grenade assaults on at least two five-star hotels, the city’s largest train station, a movie theater and a hospital.
I was there – visited one of the hotels that was bombed, was in that train station that was bombed, when I was attending the CHEP 2007 conference. The city is fantastic – so crowded it makes New York City look deserted. I loved it and the people. So it is very sad to see something like this happening. I don’t pretend to being to understand the politics in a country as large and diverse as India – but it looks like this attack was particularly confusing (i.e. none of the various new sources I read have any idea what drove this attack). But it sounds like it was much worse than before: American and British hostages.
Best wishes and I hope no one reading this is unfortunate enough to be directly connected with any of the victims; and if you are, I can only wish you best of luck.
N.B. Clicking on the picture brings you to pictures in flickr tagged with “mumbai”. When I look at the list there are a bunch of unrelated pictures at the top (i.e. life goes on). Scroll down to see lots of user generated content.
Not as Undecided as I Thought! October 31, 2008
Posted by gordonwatts in life, politics.8 comments
Apparently the editorial board of the New York Times is reading my blog:
AS we enter the final week of a seemingly endless election campaign, opinion polls continue to identify a substantial fraction of voters who consider themselves “undecided.” … Comedians and other commentators have portrayed these people as fools, unable to choose even when confronted with the starkest of contrasts.
I had no idea when I wrote that post that others were also making fun of these people. However, I pulled a “Bush” – I went off on the undecided’s without actually doing any research to see what was really going on. In my own defense: this blog is free!
The NYT’s, however, is not the same. They did some research:
Recent research in neuroscience and psychology, however, suggests that most undecided voters may be smarter than you think. They’re not indifferent or unable to make clear comparisons between the candidates. They may be more willing than others to take their time — or else just unaware that they have essentially already made a choice.
Without other information I would have guessed the latter. I’m sure it has happened to you before: someone drops by and asks for advice. After a while it becomes clear they have already decided in their head which way they want to go and are looking for confirmation or just trying to make sure nothing was missed.
They also point out why a common technique of people who are “efficient” (but perhaps not always right) works:
In measurements of decision-related neural activity, after there is enough evidence to reach a person’s decision threshold, his brain can ignore further input even when it might improve accuracy. The brain goes ahead and decides, freeing up mental resources to deal with other problems.
I suppose the key is knowing what decisions to take a long time with and what decisions to make quickly and move on with.
As far as the current contest is concerned: I moved on a while ago!
The Societe General Trading Scandal October 19, 2008
Posted by gordonwatts in France, life.2 comments
Given the current mess of the financial markets, I wonder if anyone remembers Societe General from much earlier this year? It is a big French bank, with branches open all over in France. It was all over Marseille, for example, where I was all of last year. Remember that rouge trader who opened up 50 billion euros of unauthorized trades (Jerome Kerviel)? Living there at the time I definitely do. It was very much the topic of conversation at the lunch table (and probably bars, had I understood French better).
I managed to sqeeze in reading the current issue of the New Yorker today. It has a fascinating article on exactly this – but it was more told from Jerome’s point of view. What I’d not appreciated was that while that 50 billion was a bet gone wrong, he’d had many positions that had gained him huge amounts of money. His first big bet – betting that the subprime problem would affect things more than US government officials and everyone else was claiming they would. He made that bet late 2007! Guy had some foresight!
The funny thing is that when I say “gained him huge amounts of money” I’m not really being correct. It was the bank that got the money. The only way he extracted stuff from his successes was through bonuses. And being a mid-level employee those weren’t very big. So there is a big mystery around what motivated him to do it. He had to go to extraordinary lengths in order to accomplish this – because of the way his job performance was monitored he basically had to cover all of his positions every single day – so it must have added a huge amount of stress to his life.
When the scandal first broke most people were amazed that any single trader could actually have done this without their supervisor’s knowledge. Sure enough, his supervisor was fired and later said “I am not qualified to run a trading desk. I can build complex financial instruments – but run a trading desk? No.” And given the number of interactions Jerome had with SG’s trading compliance staff over trades the computer flagged as suspicious…
The article is fascinating. If you have a chance, I’d definitely recommend reading it. He almost made the bank go under – one of the biggest in France – and yet he seems refreshingly innocent. Though, clearly he is not.
The LHC did make BlackHoles October 7, 2008
Posted by gordonwatts in LHC, life.1 comment so far
This joke was told to me by the father of a friend at a 1-year-old birthday party. He isn’t a scientist, but, like many people, fascinated by the science that is going on.
I see the LHC did produce a blackhole after all! It just drifted over to wall street and is starting to swallow the universe there…
I’m sure we can rewrite this to make it better – but the idea is just too good to not write it down…

